phd_csc_2022_opinion_poll_augmentation.pdf
(233.49 kB, PDF)
… opinion polls are not without limitations as measurements of political perceptions and preferences: firstly, traditional random-digit-dial (RDD) polls suffer from low-response rates and over- sampling of politically enthusiastic voters, whilst online polls are also biased by digital literacy rates and access to the web, amongst factors; secondly, polls typically don’t have a systematic way to estimate interesting counterfactuals that can be of interest to political campaigns - e.g.`In which … computational statistics and statistical programming (absolute must!), Proficient in English, Feel for political science Top 5 selected publications: Cerina R, Duch, R (2021), “Polling India via regression and post-stratification of non- probability online samples”, PLOS ONE, 16(11), [e0260092]. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0260092 Cerina, R, Duch, R (2020), “Measuring public opinion via digital footprints”, International Journal of Forecasting, 36(3), 987-1002. …