Quantitative Techniques for Social Protection Policy Design
Full course description
National social protection systems are designed to provide income as well as health security in times of need, and thus to prevent people from falling into poverty. In many countries, they redistribute – through tax and contribution collections and benefit payments – significant portions of the national economy, usually expressed in terms of gross domestic product (GDP). Efficient governance supported by sound quantitative studies can make a lasting difference in peoples’ lives. Quantitative specialists working for social protection systems must deal with future uncertainties and complex interrelations between different systems. Quantitative analysis of the current situation and projections of social protection systems facilitate policy-makers to decide the design and monitor social protection systems. The course on “quantitative techniques for social protection policy design” will develop the understanding of students of advanced quantitative studies and actuarial modelling required for the sound financial governance of social protection systems, mainly on social insurance pensions. The course provides knowledge and modelling tools needed for the effective design, management, and monitoring of national social protection systems.
The main aim of the course is to enhance the capacity of students on quantitative analysis and projection methodologies and to enable students to build simplified, country-specific models mainly on social insurance pensions. In addition, students will deepen their understanding on the policy and the design of social protection schemes and will be able to discuss and analyse major policy reform options based on sound quantitative analysis. At the end of the course, students will be better equipped to participate in the financial planning of social protection schemes.
Prior knowledge of excel is highly recommended
Plamondon, P., Drouin, A., Binet, G., Cichon, M., McGillivray, W., Bédard, M., Perez M. & Hernando (2002). Actuarial Practice in Social Security. Geneva: ILO/ISSA, Part IV, chapters. 7.4, 8, 10, 11
ILO (2021). World Social Protection Report 2020-22: Social protection at the crossroads – in pursuit of a better future. Geneva.
ISSA, ILO (2016). ISSA-ILO Guidelines on Actuarial Work for Social Security. Chapter 1. ISS/ILO.